I want to start this Commentary by saying “Thank you” to everyone who contacted me after the last Commentary (No. 71) was published. I heard from many of my regular readers, either in person or by email, and I heard from people whose names I had never heard or read before—people who were irregular readers but who had never had occasion to contact me before.
Without exception, they encouraged me to continue publishing this Commentary. A few pointed out that I started this blog after Barak Obama was elected. Now that we have another liberal socialist Administration in the White House, there is much pro-American work to be done.
So to those people who contacted me, I will say—I’ll give it a try. During Obama’s eight year reign I was constantly thinking of things I wanted to say. Maybe this will be the same. But no promises.
Indeed, the ability to make promises is not entirely in my hands. This blog is hosted on the Internet by one of the big Web-hosting companies. Just as they have cut off the accounts of other outspoken conservatives, they could easily redirect my AmericaTwentyOne.com URL to the “Error 404 – Page Not Found” location. If that happens one of these days—farewell. It was fun while it lasted.
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Now to today’s topic. It may seem strange to start this commentary by talking about divorce, but that’s what I’m going to do. Divorces are governed by state law, and until the Nineteen Sixties most states allowed divorce for only two reasons: abandonment, or infidelity.
Laws eventually fall in line with reality, though, and by the late ‘Sixties many state legislatures were realizing that some couples who simply didn’t want to spend the rest of their lives together were fabricating fake cases of abandonment or infidelity simply to meet their state’s legal requirements for a divorce.
By Nineteen Seventy most states had added a third reason for a divorce to be granted. The reason was couched in various legal terms, but those terms could all be reduced to two words—Irreconcilable differences.
Following is an interview with Doug Casey, founder and CEO of Casey Research. It’s actually a “fake interview,” a staged conversation between him and the Managing Editor of Casey Research.
Q&A With Doug Casey, Founder, Casey Research
Doug Casey: I wrote an article two months ago explaining the six reasons why I thought Biden was going to win. . . and why this was going to be the most important election in U.S. history. It was certainly the most important since the election of 1860, which put Abraham Lincoln in office.
The 2020 election wasn’t just a political election with economic consequences. It was much more serious. We’re at a major cultural turning point in the U.S. In fact, we’re hovering on the edge of a cultural war. It could devolve into an actual civil war, as unlikely as that may sound to some.
I hasten to add that the unpleasantness of 1861 to 1865 was not a civil war; it was a failed war of secession. That’s a very different thing. A civil war is one where two or more groups are fighting for the control of the same territory and the same central government. A civil war, if it happens, won’t just be about political and fiscal differences, but also cultural differences. That’s much more serious.
People in the blue counties and red counties can’t even talk to each other anymore. They no longer share values or have the same views on what’s right and wrong, good or evil. Many actively hate each other.
Rachel Bodden, managing editor, Casey Research: Do you think there is a higher chance of this if Trump wins or if Biden wins? Or do you think we’re just at a boiling point, regardless?
Doug: We’re at a boiling point. You can’t solve moral and cultural differences by passing more laws. If you put antagonistic tribes in the same political and geographic entity you’re always asking for trouble. As recently as fifty or sixty years ago there were some regional differences in the U.S., sure. But we generally shared the same values, traditions, beliefs, history, language, and religion. Race was a problem, yes, but—at least before Washington started herding blacks into vertical ghettoes, putting them on welfare, and destroying their families—things were getting better. Now the U.S. has turned into a multicultural domestic empire. Empires never end well.
The best possible outcome we can have today is for the people in the left-leaning, so-called blue counties, and the right-leaning, so-called red counties, to separate in the manner of cantons in Switzerland.
Swiss cantons (Switzerland’s equivalent of states) pay a relatively small national defense tax. But all other government functions and taxes are local. In fact, that’s pretty much the way the U.S. states once were. A return to that, however, is a long-shot bet, because the federal government has intruded into absolutely every area of American life.
Regarding the colors, red and blue, I said “so-called” because that differentiation was only made about 20 years ago. Historically, leftists have always been associated with red, not blue. But somebody in the media turned it on its head and associated them with the color blue – the traditional conservative color. Nobody said, “Wait… that’s ridiculous. Red has been the color of the left since at least the days of Karl Marx. . .” That’s why socialists and communists have always been called “Reds.”
Like so many things in today’s Bizarro World, even traditional color associations have been reversed, further confusing the public. That’s only a tangential observation, I know, but it’s worth noting.
In any event, the red and blue people are viscerally at odds. Trump wasn’t the cause; he was only the catalyst. But it’s broken up families. They can no longer voice even polite political opinions among each other.
Really deep philosophical differences divide Americans about moral issues like abortion, gay rights, and the way the world should work. We’re now looking at irreconcilable differences. The best way to resolve them is for people to go their separate ways, as opposed to fighting for control of the central government, and then imposing their views on the losers.
I expect the U.S. is going to change form radically over the next few decades – much more even than over the last fifty years.
Allow me to make another seemingly outrageous prediction: The U.S. will probably break up into different regions to start with.
But the U.S. is already no longer America. America was more than just a piece of real estate. It was actually a unique and excellent idea, one that its citizens shared. But now many want to disavow everything from Columbus Day to Christmas to Thanksgiving. They want to abandon America’s principles, the Founders, and the Founders’ ideas.
Many young people have been completely indoctrinated by our colleges and universities, where they’ve been bankrupted financially and intellectually by professors who are almost all hard-core leftists. The same is true of the high schools and grade schools, where kids absorb concepts by osmosis. Surveys show most millennials think socialism is better than capitalism.
Rachel: Do you think the U.S. is like the “Stans” – arbitrarily drawn lines in a country with no culture or shared beliefs holding us together?
Doug: Increasingly, yes. The main things holding the country together now aren’t values and traditions, but artifacts like fast food franchises, hotel chains, big-box stores, the Interstate Highway System, radio and television networks, and government-issued IDs.
In fact, what you said is interesting because most of the countries in the world today are artificial constructs. Most countries in the world are on the edge. It’s not just the U.S.
Every country in Africa was assembled from completely arbitrary lines drawn in 19th-century boardrooms in Europe. The same is true of every country in the Middle East and Central Asia.
Frankly, even countries like China are likely to break up into five or six different entities corresponding to numerous local languages, cultures, and traditions. The Chinese Communist Party is widely—but quietly—viewed as a scam to benefit mainly its members.
Inner Mongolia, Tibet, and Xinjiang are all actually different countries that have antagonistic relations with the Han Chinese and Beijing.
We’ll see not only the breakup of the ill-advised European Union, but also the breakup of some European countries.
The colors on the map are starting to run. It’s like the paleontological concept of “punctuated equilibrium.” Things go along for a long time without changing, and then all of a sudden they change radically.
I think we’re at a point like that right now, both in the U.S. and around the world. It’s going to be a turbulent time, lasting at least through this decade and probably longer. It will resemble the Nineteen Thirties and ‘Forties a lot more than the Nineteen Fifties and ‘Sixties.
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LAF again: This is one of those times when another writer said something I wish I had said. In fact, I tried to say it. In my “dead file” are three attempts at saying what Mr. Casey has so eloquently written. I had the concept in my mind; I just couldn’t find the right words to express it. Sometimes that happens.
The right words turned out to be very simple: “irreconcilable differences.” In the past, each succeeding Presidential Administration has either built on the policies of the preceding Administration, or allowed the nation to quietly continue on the course the previous Administration had established.
Now we have an incoming President who has pledged that his first order of business will be to reverse all the policies of the preceding Administration.
We have senior-level members of the Biden Administration talking openly about the need to “reeducate” and “deprogram” people who supported President Trump.
We have some of the most prominent members of the U.S. business community threatening retaliation against any company that hires a former member of the Trump Administration.
We have prominent members of the mainstream media demanding that viewers and sponsors boycott any program that features a former member of the Trump Administration.
Can you think of a better definition of irreconcilable differences? I can’t.